{"id":2173,"date":"2019-09-09T08:00:52","date_gmt":"2019-09-09T12:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/replicationmarkets.com\/?p=2173"},"modified":"2019-09-12T14:29:32","modified_gmt":"2019-09-12T18:29:32","slug":"round-1-surveys-are-open","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/2019\/09\/09\/round-1-surveys-are-open\/","title":{"rendered":"Round 1 Surveys are open!"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"2173\" class=\"elementor elementor-2173\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-8de3f70 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"8de3f70\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-ecc82b3\" data-id=\"ecc82b3\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7660f82 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"7660f82\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Welcome to Round 1!<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d864355 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d864355\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>In this round, we examine a selection of claims from the following journals, in papers published 2009-2018.<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-358ac8a elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"358ac8a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-565a1b4\" data-id=\"565a1b4\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6b3d029 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"6b3d029\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8590389 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"8590389\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"266\" height=\"400\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/replicationmarkets.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/stack-of-journals.jpeg?fit=266%2C400&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-image-2179\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/replicationmarkets.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/stack-of-journals.jpeg?w=266&amp;ssl=1 266w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/replicationmarkets.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/stack-of-journals.jpeg?resize=200%2C300&amp;ssl=1 200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 266px) 100vw, 266px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-c83da28\" data-id=\"c83da28\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-07b09f0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"07b09f0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul><li>American Journal of Political Science<\/li><li>Experimental Economics<\/li><li>Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science<\/li><li>Journal of Consumer Research<\/li><li>Journal of Experimental Political Science<\/li><li>Journal of Experimental Social Psychology<\/li><li>Journal of Marketing Research<\/li><li>Journal of Applied Psychology<\/li><li>Journal of Labor Economics<\/li><li>Journal of Marketing<\/li><li>Journal of Marriage and Family<\/li><li>Journal of Organizational Behavior<\/li><li>Journal of Personality and Social Psychology<\/li><li>Law and Human Behavior<\/li><li>Psychological Science<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-bcb90d1 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"bcb90d1\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-99d6e5f\" data-id=\"99d6e5f\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-82088d4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"82088d4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Important Information<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d1c3c05 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d1c3c05\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><b>Make sure to read the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.com\/index.php\/frequently-asked-questions\/rules\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Official Rules<\/a>\u00a0and understand:<\/b><\/p><ol><li>In Round 1, you are assigned a batch of 10 surveys to answer. You must complete all 10 surveys to be eligible for prizes.<\/li><li>To be eligible for more prizes, you may complete more batches of surveys. To request another batch, email support@replicationmarkets.com with subject line &#8220;more surveys&#8221;.<\/li><li>If you did not complete the intake survey by Thursday, September 5, you are not eligible for this round of surveys.\u00a0<\/li><\/ol><p>You could answer surveys in about ten minutes, but you might want to take your time with them because&#8230;<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-dce2442 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"dce2442\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Prizes<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-ef7f428 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"ef7f428\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6dcee28\" data-id=\"6dcee28\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-33f9999 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"33f9999\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"244\" height=\"264\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/replicationmarkets.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Round-1-Survey-crystal-ball.jpeg?fit=244%2C264&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium wp-image-2178\" alt=\"Crystal Ball award for Round 1 Surveys\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-20f03c3\" data-id=\"20f03c3\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fd5d8ed elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"fd5d8ed\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><b>For this survey round, we expect to payout $4,800 at the end of October.<\/b> That breaks down to $160 per batch of surveys, as $80 \/ $40 \/ $20 \/ $20 for the Top 4 forecasters for the batch.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-033a156 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"033a156\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-a50e04b\" data-id=\"a50e04b\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a91ef1c elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a91ef1c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Markets will pay more when replications are completed, starting in mid-2020. Prize payouts will use Google Pay. For more details, read <a href=\"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.com\/index.php\/frequently-asked-questions\/payouts\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Explanation of Payouts<\/a>.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-880b225 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"880b225\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Round 1 Timeline<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c2229ac elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"c2229ac\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><b>The Round 1 Forecasting Survey<\/b> is available from now, Monday, September 9, 12:00 UTC (8 a.m. US EDT) until Sunday, September 15, 22:00 UTC (6 p.m. US EDT).<\/p><p>You may take the surveys in several sittings provided you use the same browser and keep the cookies Qualtrics uses to track your progress.<\/p><p><b>The Round 1 Prediction Market<\/b> will be available from Monday, September 16, 12:00 UTC (8 a.m. US EDT) until Sunday, September 29, 22:00 UTC (6 p.m. US EDT).<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome to Round 1! In this round, we examine a selection of claims from the following journals, in papers published 2009-2018. American Journal of Political Science Experimental Economics Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science Journal of Consumer Research Journal of Experimental Political Science Journal of Experimental Social Psychology Journal of Marketing Research Journal of&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18],"tags":[33],"class_list":["post-2173","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-announcements","tag-rounds"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2173","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2173"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2173\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2428,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2173\/revisions\/2428"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2173"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2173"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2173"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}