{"id":2913,"date":"2019-11-06T08:54:28","date_gmt":"2019-11-06T13:54:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/replicationmarkets.com\/?p=2913"},"modified":"2019-11-06T09:23:10","modified_gmt":"2019-11-06T14:23:10","slug":"platform-update-leaderboards","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/2019\/11\/06\/platform-update-leaderboards\/","title":{"rendered":"Platform update: Leaderboards"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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We have added leaderboards<\/strong> to track Markets vs. Surveys and per-Round scores.\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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This should give all forecasters (not just those who joined at the beginning of the project) a better idea of where they stand.<\/p>

The “Overall Market” is the default. It shows the total Expected Value of your entire market portfolio, using the current market prices as the best guide.<\/p>

Though we have to qualify “current”: this value is updated every four hours. But we are not\u00a0chasing the needles,<\/a>\u00a0right?<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Here is the “Overall Market” leaderboard (as of this writing). This includes a forecaster’s current unspent points, so it is optimistic.<\/p>

Notice the rm_test account has 300 unspent points which will vanish unused at the end of the round. Use ’em or lose ’em: points reset at the beginning of each round.\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Here is the leaderboard for the Round 1 Market, which closed on September 29. Share prices and rankings are fixed at a round’s closing.\u00a0<\/p>

As of this writing, Round 1 and Round 2 leaderboards are fixed. Anyone who recently joined the project has the chance to see their name at the top of Round 3’s.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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After each round, we convert the survey peer prediction score into batch ranks, then create a score based on overall batch ranks within the round.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Here you can see that the Round 1 Surveys were relatively uncontested compared to Round 2.\u00a0<\/p>

Round 3 Surveys opened on Monday. The more batches a forecaster completes, the more likely they will appear on the leaderboard.<\/p>

We need forecasters to complete as many surveys as possible. It is the combined individual assessments of our forecasters that sets the baseline for the crowdsourced opinion in the Markets.\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Round 3 Surveys are open until November 10 at 23:59 UTC.<\/b><\/p>

Round 3 Markets will be active November 11, 12:00 UTC through November 24, 23:59 UTC.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Want to see where you stand in the leaderboards?<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tLog in to Predict<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

We have added leaderboards to track Markets vs. Surveys and per-Round scores.  This should give all forecasters (not just those who joined at the beginning of the project) a better idea of where they stand. The “Overall Market” is the default. It shows the total Expected Value of your entire market portfolio, using the current…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2913","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2913","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2913"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2913\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2925,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2913\/revisions\/2925"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2913"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2913"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2913"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}