{"id":3202,"date":"2019-12-10T09:25:12","date_gmt":"2019-12-10T14:25:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/replicationmarkets.com\/?p=3202"},"modified":"2020-01-13T09:43:01","modified_gmt":"2020-01-13T14:43:01","slug":"announcing-round-3-survey-winners","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/2019\/12\/10\/announcing-round-3-survey-winners\/","title":{"rendered":"Announcing Round 3 Survey Winners!"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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The results are in!<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Replication Markets Round 3 finished on November 24<\/strong>, and since then we have been analyzing the results to determine the most accurate forecasters for the Surveys. We have 42 winners!<\/p>

Because the markets will take nearly a year to pay out according to ground truth, we award prizes each Round to forecasters who are closest to the truth as determined by a peer prediction method.\u00a0<\/b>Our calculation methods are pre-registered with the Center for Open Science and will be made public at the end of the study.<\/p>

The top 4 forecasters of each batch are awarded $80, $40, $20, and $20, respectively.\u00a0<\/strong>Round 3 Surveys featured 30 batches of 10 surveys each. You will notice that quite a few of our winners earned more than $80.\u00a0This happens when a forecaster is ranked in the top 4 in more<\/i> than one batch.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Round 3 Winners will be notified by email<\/strong> at the email address registered with the username on the RM platform<\/a>. Prizes must be claimed by January 6, 2020.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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unipedal<\/td>$1,160<\/td><\/tr>
Frantisek<\/td>$580<\/td><\/tr>
prorgan<\/td>$300<\/td><\/tr>
sattuma<\/td>$240<\/td><\/tr>
yetAnotherTrader<\/td>$220<\/td><\/tr>
BradleyJBaker<\/td>$220<\/td><\/tr>
AchinToBe<\/td>$200<\/td><\/tr>
sflicht<\/td>$200<\/td><\/tr>
Ilei<\/td>$180<\/td><\/tr>
mjad88<\/td>$160<\/td><\/tr>
EirikStroemland<\/td>$100<\/td><\/tr>
cgravert<\/td>$100<\/td><\/tr>
stanlaurel<\/td>$100<\/td><\/tr>
scocciolo<\/td>$100<\/td><\/tr>
bjaeger<\/td>$80<\/td><\/tr>
Lenkafiala<\/td>$80<\/td><\/tr>
GKarreskog<\/td>$80<\/td><\/tr>
nathan98000<\/td>$60<\/td><\/tr>
agural<\/td>$60<\/td><\/tr>
andrewsmith<\/td>$40<\/td><\/tr>
Econ101<\/td>$40<\/td><\/tr>
JonS<\/td>$40<\/td><\/tr>
hugopedder<\/td>$40<\/td><\/tr>
xoph09<\/td>$40<\/td><\/tr>
Nokta<\/td>$40<\/td><\/tr>
bgfarrar<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
Nick<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
Pavol<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
chrizzel<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
Taku<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
meaning.mosaic.curtain<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
zultan<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
kieranmepham<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
catrachohansen<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
vtevelde<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
felixbunny<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
benthamite<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
pbog<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
WFlyte<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
ekarpinski<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
evn<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr>
mzhu14<\/td>$20<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The results are in! Replication Markets Round 3 finished on November 24, and since then we have been analyzing the results to determine the most accurate forecasters for the Surveys. We have 42 winners! Because the markets will take nearly a year to pay out according to ground truth, we award prizes each Round to…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3202","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-announcements"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3202","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3202"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3202\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3392,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3202\/revisions\/3392"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3202"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3202"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3202"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}