{"id":4529,"date":"2020-08-18T16:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-08-18T20:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/replicationmarkets.com\/?p=4529"},"modified":"2020-08-17T15:02:27","modified_gmt":"2020-08-17T19:02:27","slug":"announcing-round-10-survey-winners","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/2020\/08\/18\/announcing-round-10-survey-winners\/","title":{"rendered":"Announcing Round 10 Survey winners"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Replication Markets Round 10 finished August 17.<\/strong> The research team analyzed the data and is happy to announce 23\u00a0<\/b>winners.<\/p>

Because the markets will take nearly a year to pay out according to ground truth,\u00a0we award prizes each Round to forecasters who are closest to the truth as determined by a peer prediction method.\u00a0<\/b>Our calculation methods are pre-registered with the Center for Open Science and will be made public at the end of the study.<\/p>

The top 4 forecasters of each batch are awarded $80, $40, $20, and $20, respectively.\u00a0<\/strong>Round 10 Surveys featured 30 batches of about 10 surveys each. You will notice that quite a few of our winners earned more than $80. This happens when a forecaster is ranked in the top 4 in\u00a0more<\/i>\u00a0than one batch.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div>

Round 10 Winners will be notified by email<\/strong>\u00a0at the email address registered with the username on the\u00a0RM platform<\/a>.\u00a0Prizes must be claimed by September 18, 2020.<\/span><\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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rm_user<\/strong><\/td>$900<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
unipedal<\/strong><\/td>$580<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Botilicious<\/strong><\/td>$500<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
DavidRhysBernard<\/strong><\/td>$440<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
CPM<\/strong><\/td>$400<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Poison<\/strong><\/td>$360<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
relihan<\/strong><\/td>$200<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
sattuma<\/strong><\/td>$180<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Pavol<\/strong><\/td>$180<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
ALehr<\/strong><\/td>$180<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Cory<\/strong><\/td>$160<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Nokta<\/strong><\/td>$120<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
maalsc<\/strong><\/td>$100<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Matho<\/strong><\/td>$80<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
DMS<\/strong><\/td>$80<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
braoi<\/strong><\/td>$80<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
BBalmford<\/strong><\/td>$80<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Frantisek<\/strong><\/td>$60<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Ilei<\/strong><\/td>$40<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Scalene1234<\/strong><\/td>$40<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
educatedguess<\/strong><\/td>$40<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
yetAnotherTrader<\/strong><\/td>$20<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
stanlaurel<\/strong><\/td>$20<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Replication Markets Round 10 finished August 17. The research team analyzed the data and is happy to announce 23 winners. Because the markets will take nearly a year to pay out according to ground truth, we award prizes each Round to forecasters who are closest to the truth as determined by a peer prediction method. Our calculation methods…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4529","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4529"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4529\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6143,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4529\/revisions\/6143"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}