{"id":6065,"date":"2022-01-21T08:14:21","date_gmt":"2022-01-21T13:14:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/replicationmarkets.com\/?p=6065"},"modified":"2022-02-03T08:29:28","modified_gmt":"2022-02-03T13:29:28","slug":"resolutions-for-covid-19-preprints","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/2022\/01\/21\/resolutions-for-covid-19-preprints\/","title":{"rendered":"Resolutions for Covid-19 Preprints"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"6065\" class=\"elementor elementor-6065\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-0add270 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"0add270\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-534ab2e\" data-id=\"534ab2e\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-eca99f6 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"eca99f6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>In November of 2020, Replication Markets ran a prediction market for <a href=\"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.com\/index.php\/rm-c19\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">400 preprints related to COVID-19.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Categories included Epidemiology, Infectious Diseases, Immunology, Microbiology, and Public and Global Health.<\/p>\n<p>Participants had the opportunity to bid on four questions for each of the 400 preprints:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Citation ranking of the preprint one year from the preprint publication date.<\/li>\n<li>Chance that the preprint would be published in a high impact factor (JIF \u226510) journal within a year of preprint publication.<\/li>\n<li>Chance that the preprint would be published in a low impact factor journal (JIF &lt;10) within a year of preprint publication.<\/li>\n<li>Chance that the preprint would not be published within a year of preprint publication.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-217043f elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"217043f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-df7d2cb elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"df7d2cb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Now that we are in 2022, all of the questions have resolved. Our team has preliminary results to share before we make our final prize calculations.<\/p><h3>Please <a href=\"https:\/\/drive.google.com\/file\/d\/1ONY563y2V2vdZWdk_fnZp0qQ_sce_hQ6\/view?usp=sharing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">review the resolutions<\/a> for accuracy.<\/h3><p><strong>If you have information supporting other results for publication status or journal impact factor, please contact us right away at<\/strong><\/p><center><strong>support@replicationmarkets.com<\/strong><\/center>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9c98a4f elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"9c98a4f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0e48ac4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"0e48ac4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Notes on the resolutions:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>There are 399 resolutions instead of 400.&nbsp;<span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">This is because one preprint was included twice in the study under two unique DOIs.<\/span><\/li>\n<li>Journal impact factor is High for values greater than or equal to 10, and Low for values less than 10.<\/li>\n<li>Citation counts were calculated with Google Scholar citation counts including preprints and published versions.<\/li><li>Citation ranks are real values in the range 1-100, with higher values corresponding to higher citation counts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-f19ae7e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"f19ae7e\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-796026e\" data-id=\"796026e\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-72750bd elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"72750bd\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Update: Resolution Details<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-316131d elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"316131d\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-9170213\" data-id=\"9170213\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1716502 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1716502\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Please see <a href=\"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.com\/index.php\/2022\/01\/21\/c19-preprint-resolution-details\/\">the next post<\/a> for calculation details.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In November of 2020, Replication Markets ran a prediction market for 400 preprints related to COVID-19. Categories included Epidemiology, Infectious Diseases, Immunology, Microbiology, and Public and Global Health. Participants had the opportunity to bid on four questions for each of the 400 preprints: Citation ranking of the preprint one year from the preprint publication date.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6065","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6065"}],"version-history":[{"count":38,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6065\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6149,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6065\/revisions\/6149"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6065"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6065"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/replicationmarkets.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6065"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}