“Standing on the shoulders of giants” – this phrase, attributed to Bernard of Chartres and prominently used by Isaac Newton, emphasises the role of past discoveries in ongoing scientific research. For modern research, where communication is predominately done through scientific publications, a high reliability of published findings is instrumental. Yet surprisingly little is known about…
Prof. Anna Dreber Almenberg, part of Replication Markets’ experiment design team, delivered one of three keynote addresses at the 2019 Bayesian Crowd Conference in Rotterdam, the Netherlands, on June 25. During her address, Dreber Almenberg discussed her research and work in Replication Markets, the first public announcement of the project. Dreber Almenberg has published research…
What is high quality replication?
In brief: A good-faith, high-power attempt to reproduce a previously-observed finding.
Replication Markets is a government funded research project to forecast the outcomes of thousands of potential social science replications to be done from mid-2019 to mid-2020.
From the replication crisis to forecasting to prediction markets, the Replication Markets project covers a broad range of intellectual territory. Explore our recommended reading to learn more.